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Catalina’s Q1 2025 Shopping Basket Index, which tracks the aggregate average price changes of 10 common grocery product categories, shows grocery price inflation in the U.S. continued to cool in the first quarter of 2025, with a few tariff-related exceptions.
Catalina’s Shopping Basket Index reveals grocery price inflation cooled in the first quarter of 2025, dropping to 2% overall compared to the previous year. While most categories show moderating inflation and some frozen food prices have declined, staples such as deodorants, coffee, and soft drinks are experiencing upward pricing pressure. Data shows that potential tariff-related cost increases on imported goods may quicken price hikes in specific categories.
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