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After a period of cooling, overall U.S. grocery inflation re-accelerated modestly in Q3 2025, ticking up from 2% to 3% YOY, according to Catalina's Shopping Basket Index. This uptick was primarily driven by a massive inflationary surge in Coffee which was offset by price drops in key categories, including soft drinks, paper products, deodorants, and cereal.
The rise of GLP-1 medications is fundamentally changing consumer dietary habits, creating new challenges and opportunities for retailers and CPG brands. To unlock growth, marketers can leverage Catalina’s proprietary GLP-1 Shopper Profile to gain insights on how to adapt to this new consumer group and engage them with personalized, omnichannel messaging.
UK shoppers are showing a stronger preference for printed coupons over digital ones, with Gen Z leading the shift away from digital overload. Emotional connection and personalization are driving loyalty, making physical offers a powerful tool for engagement. Read more here.
2025 demands a united data front. Catalina’s comprehensive guide to data analytics and insights shows CPG brands and retailers how to collaborate to reach their most loyal customers through contextual targeting, responsive marketing, AI-based bidding, and more.
Catalina’s Q1 2025 Shopping Basket Index, which tracks the aggregate average price changes of 10 common grocery product categories, shows grocery price inflation in the U.S. continued to cool in the first quarter of 2025, with a few tariff-related exceptions.
Catalina’s Shopping Basket Index reveals grocery price inflation cooled in the first quarter of 2025, dropping to 2% overall compared to the previous year. While most categories show moderating inflation and some frozen food prices have declined, staples such as deodorants, coffee, and soft drinks are experiencing upward pricing pressure. Data shows that potential tariff-related cost increases on imported goods may quicken price hikes in specific categories.
Catalina’s Adam Van Beck shares how CPG brands can navigate Q2 2025’s market volatility. He says marketers can optimize budgets and maximize ROI amidst inflation and tariff uncertainty by leveraging advanced data analytics and precise targeting. He also explains why agile marketing and retailer-agnostic solutions are the best ways to navigate these dynamic times and reach high-value shoppers effectively.
